Coconut Oil Price Trends in APAC: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in the Philippines:

Coconut oil prices in the Philippines surged to 2,540 USD/MT by March 2025, marking a significant 17% increase since December 2024. This sharp escalation was fueled by robust global demand meeting limited production capacity, as adverse weather disrupted key growing regions. Export policy changes further tightened supply, intensifying market pressures. The Coconut Oil Price Index now signals ongoing volatility and potential supply challenges that may persist throughout the year.

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Note: The analysis can be tailored to align with the customer's specific needs.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be extended to provide detailed coconut oil price information for the following list of countries.

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in Europe: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Europe:

The Coconut Oil Historical Price Data reveals that prices in Europe rose sharply to 2,363 USD/MT by March 2025. This increase was driven by strong demand from the cosmetic and health food sectors, combined with production shortfalls in key supplier countries like the Philippines and Indonesia. Additionally, a stronger U.S. dollar against the euro added pressure, contributing to market volatility and ongoing uncertainty in the coconut oil market for 2025.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of European countries

such as Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, the Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, along with other European nations.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in APAC: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Shri Lanka:

Coconut oil prices in Sri Lanka surged to 2,860 USD/MT by March 2025, marking a dramatic increase during the first quarter. This sharp rise was primarily driven by severe supply constraints following destructive typhoons and persistent drought, which significantly reduced plantation yields. Additionally, Sri Lanka’s export-focused policies diverted more supply to international markets, deepening domestic shortages. The Coconut Oil Price Forecast 2025 highlights this upward trend, signalling ongoing volatility as the market recovers from these compounded challenges.

Coconut Oil Prices in India:

India’s coconut oil market reached a historic high of 2,940 USD/MT by March 2025, reflecting unprecedented price escalation through the first quarter. This surge was fueled by rapidly growing demand from the pharmaceutical and cosmetic industries, which increasingly value coconut oil for its therapeutic and dermatological benefits. The loss of coconut oil’s traditional price advantage over palm kernel oil eliminated substitution options, intensifying competition across all sectors. The Coconut Oil Prices Forecast Chart captured this sharp appreciation, highlighting the convergence of these pressures that propelled prices to record levels.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of APAC regions:

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in South America: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Brazil:

In Q1 2025, coconut oil prices in Brazil surged to a record 3,170 USD/MT, representing the sharpest increase seen in South America’s market. This dramatic rise was fueled by strong demand from Brazil’s booming personal care and cosmetic industries, as well as increased use in pharmaceutical applications. Intense competition for limited supplies led to a significant supply-demand imbalance, further accelerating prices. Analysts expect this upward trend and market volatility to persist in the near term.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of South America.

such as Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru, among other Latin American countries.

Key Factors Affecting Coconut Oil Price Trend, Index, and Forecast

Tight Global Supply:

Reduced starting stocks and modest production growth—especially in the Philippines and Indonesia due to adverse weather—are causing persistent supply shortages.

Rising Global Demand:

Strong demand from food, cosmetics, health, and biofuel sectors, fueled by the shift to natural and sustainable products, is pushing prices higher.

Export Policies and Trade Regulations:

Export restrictions and policy changes in major producing countries are tightening global supply and supporting elevated prices.

Competition with Palm Kernel Oil:

When palm kernel oil prices rise or supply tightens, buyers switch to coconut oil, narrowing the price gap and increasing coconut oil demand.

Weather and Climate Events:

Typhoons and droughts in Southeast Asia disrupt harvests, reducing copra availability and triggering price spikes.

Freight and Logistics Costs:

Rising shipping rates and logistical challenges in exporting regions add to price volatility.

Currency Fluctuations:

Exchange rate changes, particularly a stronger US dollar, impact export prices and global competitiveness.

Global Vegetable Oil Markets and Geopolitics:

Disruptions in other vegetable oil markets (like sunflower oil) or geopolitical tensions drive more buyers to coconut oil, further boosting prices.

Pricing Forecast

Coconut oil prices surged to record highs in early 2025, with the Philippines at $2,540/MT and Europe at $2,363/MT.

Prices are expected to remain elevated and volatile throughout 2025, ranging between $1,900 and $2,050/MT, due to ongoing supply constraints, strong demand, and continued trade and weather disruptions.

FAQs about the Coconut Oil Price Trend, Index, and Forecast:

What is the current trend in Coconut Oil Prices?

Coconut oil prices are currently high and trending upward. This surge is primarily driven by supply shortages due to adverse weather (El Niño, typhoons) in key Southeast Asian producing regions, coupled with steady global demand, nearing record highs in early to mid-2025.

What is the price forecast for Coconut Oil in 2025?

Coconut oil prices are expected to remain elevated through 2025, with potential for further increases. Forecasts project prices around $1,900-$2,050 per metric ton in H1 2025, with some regions seeing prices over $2,700/MT, driven by tight supplies and continued demand.

What influences the price of Coconut Oil globally?

Global coconut oil prices are influenced by weather conditions (droughts, typhoons affecting crop yield), production costs (fertilizers, labor), transportation costs, global supply-demand imbalances, and competition from other edible oils like palm oil.

Will Coconut Oil become cheaper in the future?

Coconut oil is unlikely to become significantly cheaper shortly. The market faces persistent supply constraints from adverse weather and limited expansion of cultivation. While some normalization is anticipated, prices are expected to remain high through 2025.

What drives the Coconut Oil price trends?

Key drivers include reduced coconut yields from climatic events, strong global demand from the food, cosmetics, and biofuel sectors, increased production costs, and the limited ability to rapidly expand cultivation due to long tree maturation periods and environmental concerns.

Key Coverage:

• Market Analysis
• Market Breakup by Region
• Demand Supply Analysis by Type
• Demand Supply Analysis by Application
• Demand Supply Analysis of Raw Materials
• Price Analysis
  • Spot Prices by Major Ports
  • Price Breakup
  • Price Trends by Region
  • Factors influencing the Price Trends
• Market Drivers, Restraints, and Opportunities
• Competitive Landscape
• Recent Developments
• Global Event Analysis

How IMARC Pricing Database Can Help

The latest IMARC Group study, “Coconut Oil Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed analysis of Coconut Oil price trend, offering key insights into global Coconut Oil market dynamics. This report includes comprehensive price charts, which trace historical data and highlights major shifts in the market.

The analysis delves into the factors driving these trends, including raw material costs, production fluctuations, and geopolitical influences. Moreover, the report examines Coconut Oil demand, illustrating how consumer behaviour and industrial needs affect overall market dynamics. By exploring the intricate relationship between supply and demand, the prices report uncovers critical factors influencing current and future prices.

About Us:

IMARC Group is a global management consulting firm that provides a comprehensive suite of services to support market entry and expansion efforts. The company offers detailed market assessments, feasibility studies, regulatory approvals and licensing support, and pricing analysis, including spot pricing and regional price trends. Its expertise spans demand-supply analysis alongside regional insights covering Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa. IMARC also specializes in competitive landscape evaluations, profiling key market players, and conducting research into market drivers, restraints, and opportunities. IMARC’s data-driven approach helps businesses navigate complex markets with precision and confidence.

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