North America Electric Car Market: The Role of Government Policies and Incentives in Driving Adoption

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North America Electric Car Market by Propulsion Type (BEV, PHEV, HEV), Power Output (Less than 100kW, 100 kW to 250 kW, More than 250 kW), End Use (Private, Commercial), and Geography - Forecast to 2031

The North American electric car market is poised for significant growth, driven by technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences. Here’s a detailed look at the key segments within this market and what to expect in the coming years.

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Propulsion Type

The market is divided into three main propulsion types:

  1. Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs): Expected to dominate the market in 2024, BEVs are benefiting from stringent emission standards, a growing demand for zero-emission vehicles, and decreasing battery prices. The expansion of fast and ultra-fast charging technologies and increasing support from local governments and automotive companies are also propelling the BEV segment. Additionally, the benefits of BEVs, such as reduced noise and vibrations, further enhance their appeal.
  2. Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs): Although significant, the PHEV segment is projected to hold a smaller share compared to BEVs. PHEVs combine electric and traditional combustion engines, offering flexibility but not achieving the same level of emissions reduction as BEVs.
  3. Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEVs): HEVs also play a role in the market but are expected to account for a smaller share compared to BEVs. HEVs use both electric and gasoline power but do not need to be plugged in for charging.

Power Output

Electric cars in North America are categorized by power output:

  1. Less than 100 kW: This segment is anticipated to have the largest share in 2024. The demand for light electric cars in city centers and for shared mobility services, along with falling battery prices, are driving this segment’s growth.
  2. 100 kW to 250 kW: This range offers a balance between power and efficiency, appealing to consumers looking for more robust performance without the higher costs associated with more powerful models.
  3. More than 250 kW: High-performance electric vehicles fall into this category. Although they represent a smaller segment, they are growing as interest in high-power electric vehicles increases.

End Use

The market is segmented into:

  1. Private Use: Expected to dominate in 2024, driven by consumer demand for fuel-efficient and zero-emission vehicles. Government incentives, low taxes, reduced battery costs, and high fuel prices are key factors contributing to the growth of the private use segment.
  2. Commercial Use: Includes electric vehicles used for business purposes, such as delivery vans and fleet vehicles. While this segment is growing, it currently holds a smaller share compared to private use.

Geographic Breakdown

The North American electric car market is analyzed for two primary regions:

  1. United States: Projected to hold the largest market share in 2024. The U.S. benefits from a wide range of available electric car models, increasing adoption rates, and significant investments by automotive manufacturers. States like California, Colorado, New Jersey, and Washington are leading the charge in electric vehicle adoption, supported by strong state and local government incentives.
  2. Canada: Although smaller in comparison to the U.S., Canada is also experiencing growth in the electric car market. The Canadian government’s policies and incentives support this upward trend.

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